Sources & claim log
97 claims, checked 20 Oct 2026: 68 verified 21 partly verified 5 reported 3 forecast/opinion
Matches a primary source or two independent reputable reports. Partially verified: part of the claim matches, or only secondary/summary sources were available. Could not confirm. Attributed to the brief and shown as “reported”. Machine-readable: agents.json.
Muse
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muse launched 8 Sep 2026 (US) | 2026-09-08 | ✓ verified | How We Built Safety Into Muse Meta launches personal AI agent, Muse Muse, Meta’s New Personal AI Agent, Needs You to Trust It 20 Oct 2026 |
| Meta calls Muse “the world’s first personal AI agent built for everyone” Marketing claim by Meta, not an independent assessment. | quote | ✓ verified | Introducing Muse: The World’s First Personal AI Agent Built for Everyone (Meta release, via Public) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Muse app (iOS/Android), muse.ai and WhatsApp; Meta AI glasses “soon” | app, web, WhatsApp | ✓ verified | Muse, Meta’s New Personal AI Agent, Needs You to Trust It Introducing Muse: The World’s First Personal AI Agent Built for Everyone (Meta release, via Public) 20 Oct 2026 |
| US-only at launch; 18+ Help Center: availability varies by region. | US, 18+ | ✓ verified | Meta launches personal AI agent, Muse Introducing Muse: The World’s First Personal AI Agent Built for Everyone (Meta release, via Public) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Free tier with a weekly usage limit | free | ✓ verified | About Muse subscriptions 20 Oct 2026 |
| Free tier ≈ 100M Muse tokens per week Reported by Bloomberg (via Techmeme). Meta’s Help Center does not publish the free number. | 100,000,000 / week | ◐ partly verified | Muse is free for up to 100M tokens per week (Bloomberg, via Techmeme) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Power plan $20/month — 500M Muse tokens per week “Muse tokens” are Meta’s own metering unit. | $20 / 500M per week | ✓ verified | About Muse subscriptions 20 Oct 2026 |
| Maximum plan $100/month — 3B Muse tokens per week | $100 / 3B per week | ✓ verified | About Muse subscriptions 20 Oct 2026 |
| Each user gets a dedicated, isolated cloud VM (“Secure VM”) with a browser | dedicated VM | ✓ verified | How We Built Safety Into Muse 20 Oct 2026 |
| Harness does not see real credentials; outside actions pass through a “Sentinel” the agent can’t override Company description of its own design. | Sentinel | ✓ verified | How We Built Safety Into Muse 20 Oct 2026 |
| Bug bounty: up to $130,000 for a zero-click prompt injection that compromises one user’s agent Tiered: $90K (0.5-click), $50K (1-click), $25K (2-click). | $130,000 | ✓ verified | Muse payout guidelines 20 Oct 2026 |
| Pays via Stripe Link agent wallet; one-time credentials, Muse never sees the card | Stripe Link | ✓ verified | Stripe helps Muse, Meta’s new personal AI agent, shop across the internet with Link 20 Oct 2026 |
| ≈10.9M downloads in about six weeks Third-party app-intelligence estimate reported by press, not a Meta figure. Other estimates: 10.4M (BNP Paribas), 5M in first 3 weeks. | 10.9M | ◐ partly verified | Meta’s Muse AI agent hits 10.9 million downloads as ChatGPT slides 25% 20 Oct 2026 |
| Beta lets selected users have Muse call US businesses | beta | ✓ verified | Rival AI agents, Instinct and Meta’s Muse, both add the ability to make calls 20 Oct 2026 |
| Reuters reported internal tests showed stalling and unauthorized exposure of sensitive data Seen in Reuters’ summary bullets; full article paywalled, details not checked. | reported | ◐ partly verified | Meta launches AI agent that can access other apps to send emails, make payments 20 Oct 2026 |
| Powered by “Muse Spark 1.3” Bloomberg via Techmeme; Meta lab compute figure below is for Meta Superintelligence Labs. | Muse Spark 1.3 | ◐ partly verified | Muse is free for up to 100M tokens per week (Bloomberg, via Techmeme) 20 Oct 2026 |
Dots
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dots launched 29 Sep 2026 at DevDay | 2026-09-29 | ✓ verified | Introducing dots OpenAI launches dots, always-on AI agents with their own cloud computers 20 Oct 2026 |
| OpenAI: “remarkably capable, always-on agents built to handle everything” Marketing claim. | quote | ✓ verified | Introducing dots 20 Oct 2026 |
| Powered by GPT-6 Astra | GPT-6 Astra | ✓ verified | Introducing dots 20 Oct 2026 |
| Each dot has its own cloud computer and browser; optional access to your own computer (off by default) | own cloud computer | ✓ verified | Introducing dots Getting started with your dot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Connects to 4,000+ apps through plugins | 4,000+ | ✓ verified | Introducing dots 20 Oct 2026 |
| ChatGPT (web, desktop, mobile app), Slack, Teams, voice calls; texting = limited US Pro beta | ChatGPT, Slack, Teams | ✓ verified | Introducing dots Getting started with your dot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Included in ChatGPT Pro and Business Premium; Enterprise/Edu/Healthcare beta if admin enables The brief’s “Pro-only” is too narrow — see discrepancy log. | Pro, Business Premium | ✓ verified | Getting started with your dot 20 Oct 2026 |
| ChatGPT Pro tiers: $100, $200 or $500 per month Pro 200 allowance for new subscribers was lowered (help center, Oct 2026). | $100 / $200 / $500 | ✓ verified | About ChatGPT Pro tiers 20 Oct 2026 |
| Business Premium: $125/seat/month ($100 billed annually) From OpenAI Business help/pricing pages via search summary; confirm on checkout. | $125 / seat | ◐ partly verified | ChatGPT Business – Overview 20 Oct 2026 |
| Not available to Pro users in the EEA, Switzerland or UK (Business Premium: all supported regions) | excl. EEA/CH/UK (Pro) | ✓ verified | Getting started with your dot OpenAI launches dots, always-on AI agents with their own cloud computers 20 Oct 2026 |
| “Deeper work” allowance is included but its size is not published; extended limits in the first month | not published | ✓ verified | Getting started with your dot 20 Oct 2026 |
| A dot’s own memories can only be deleted by resetting (deleting) the dot; disconnecting an app doesn’t delete what it already learned | reset-or-nothing | ✓ verified | Getting started with your dot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Custom rules: act without asking / if pre-approved / ask first / hand off to you | custom rules | ✓ verified | Getting started with your dot 20 Oct 2026 |
| OpenAI halted rollout of a more advanced model over safety concerns the day before Dots launched AP report. | reported | ✓ verified | OpenAI CEO Sam Altman announces agent Dots, GPT-6.1 Sol and other updates 20 Oct 2026 |
| An OpenAI AI agent accessed non-public Services Australia (Medicare) data; Australia’s parliament inquiry is scrutinising it and has called for independent oversight The incident pre-dates Dots and involved OpenAI agents generally, not Dots specifically. | June 2026 incident | ✓ verified | OpenAI executive Jason Kwon to face grilling at parliament about AI hacking Australians’ private data AI inquiry urges independent safety checks, security access and copyright review 20 Oct 2026 |
Grok Bot
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grok Bot launched in beta 11 Aug 2026 | 2026-08-11 | ✓ verified | Introducing Grok Bot Introducing Grok Bot (announcement) 20 Oct 2026 |
| SpaceXAI: “AI teammates you can give real work to” | quote | ✓ verified | Introducing Grok Bot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Persistent cloud computer with browser, filesystem and terminal | persistent cloud computer | ✓ verified | Introducing Grok Bot (announcement) 20 Oct 2026 |
| All of your Bots share one computer (each gets its own screen); treat any login or file on it as available to all your Bots | shared per account | ✓ verified | Introducing Grok Bot (announcement) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Many Bots in parallel; Bots message each other and coordinate in group chats | parallel teams | ✓ verified | Introducing Grok Bot Grok Bot is now included with more plans 20 Oct 2026 |
| Teach-once routines that re-run on demand or on a schedule | routines | ✓ verified | Introducing Grok Bot (announcement) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Sensitive actions can go through Auto Review; encrypted computer; training opt-out; enterprise DLP/network controls | Auto Review | ✓ verified | AI teammates that finish the work | Grok Bot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Included on The X Subscription Premium ($30/mo), Super ($100/mo) and Ultra ($200/mo); not on Plus Legacy Cursor Pro/Pro+/Ultra/Teams and linked SuperGrok plans also include it. | $30 / $100 / $200 | ✓ verified | The X Subscription — Pricing AI teammates that finish the work | Grok Bot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Usage is a weekly pool (shared with Grok and Cursor on The X Subscription); exact amounts not published Relative only: Premium 4×, Super 15×, Ultra 50× Plus usage. | weekly, not published | ✓ verified | Grok Bot — Plans and billing The X Subscription — Pricing 20 Oct 2026 |
| Launch-day plans Cursor forum/VentureBeat: SuperGrok Heavy, Cursor Ultra, Teams Premium only. Current xAI post lists more plans (likely edited after expansion). | conflicting | ◐ partly verified | Introducing Grok Bot (announcement) Introducing Grok Bot SpaceXAI’s Grok Bot turns agents into persistent digital coworkers 20 Oct 2026 |
| Desktop (macOS, Windows, Linux) and iOS; Android listed as coming Platform list beyond desktop + iOS is from VentureBeat. | desktop + iOS | ◐ partly verified | SpaceXAI’s Grok Bot turns agents into persistent digital coworkers Introducing Grok Bot 20 Oct 2026 |
Gemini Spark
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini Spark announced at Google I/O, 19 May 2026; beta for US Ultra subscribers the following week | 2026-05-19 | ✓ verified | Google AI subscription updates from Google I/O 2026 Google introduces Gemini Spark, a 24/7 agentic assistant 20 Oct 2026 |
| At launch Spark required Google AI Ultra ($100 or $200 tier, US only) | $100 entry | ✓ verified | Google AI subscription updates from Google I/O 2026 20 Oct 2026 |
| Top Ultra tier cut from $250 to $200/month at I/O | $250 → $200 | ✓ verified | Google AI subscription updates from Google I/O 2026 20 Oct 2026 |
| Expanded to Google AI Pro ($19.99/mo) in the US around 24–25 Jul 2026 Google’s Spark page confirms Pro access; the date is from secondary reporting. | $19.99 | ◐ partly verified | Gemini Spark Expands to All Google AI Pro Subscribers in the US Google AI plans Gemini Spark – Your 24/7 personal AI agent 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: “$20 Spark (down from $250 in two months)” Entry price fell from $100 to $20 in ~10 weeks. $250 was the old Ultra list price, cut to $200 the day Spark was announced. | $250 → $20 | ◐ partly verified | Google AI subscription updates from Google I/O 2026 Gemini Spark Expands to All Google AI Pro Subscribers in the US 20 Oct 2026 |
| Up to 15 concurrent tasks and 50 active schedules | 15 / 50 | ✓ verified | Create and manage schedules for tasks in Gemini 20 Oct 2026 |
| Not available in the EEA, UK, Switzerland or Nigeria; 18+, personal Google accounts | excl. EEA/UK/CH/NG | ✓ verified | Create and manage schedules for tasks in Gemini Gemini Spark Expands to All Google AI Pro Subscribers in the US 20 Oct 2026 |
| Native Gmail, Calendar, Drive, Docs, Sheets, Slides, YouTube, Maps; connections off by default | Google apps | ✓ verified | Gemini Spark – Your 24/7 personal AI agent 20 Oct 2026 |
| Spark runs on Gemini 3.5 Secondary reporting; Google’s Spark page does not name the model. | Gemini 3.5 | ◐ partly verified | Gemini Spark Expands to All Google AI Pro Subscribers in the US 20 Oct 2026 |
| Designed to check with you before major actions; runs 24/7 even with devices off | asks first | ✓ verified | Gemini Spark – Your 24/7 personal AI agent 20 Oct 2026 |
Claude (Cowork / Code)
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Cowork launched 12 Jan 2026 (research preview, Max, macOS); Pro on 16 Jan | 2026-01-12 | ✓ verified | Anthropic’s new Cowork tool offers Claude Code without the code 20 Oct 2026 |
| Cowork generally available on paid plans (macOS + Windows) 9 Apr 2026 Date from search summary of Anthropic’s enterprise article. | 2026-04-09 | ◐ partly verified | Making Claude Cowork ready for enterprise 20 Oct 2026 |
| Cowork and chat merged into “one Claude” from 16 Sep 2026 (Pro/Max first), plus Claude Docs and Slides beta | 2026-09-16 | ✓ verified | Claude Cowork and chat are now one Claude Claude Cowork and chat are one Claude Anthropic merges its Claude chat and agentic Cowork products into a single AI assistant 20 Oct 2026 |
| By default Claude asks before taking an action | asks first | ✓ verified | Anthropic merges its Claude chat and agentic Cowork products into a single AI assistant 20 Oct 2026 |
| Pro $20/mo ($17 annual); Max $100 or $200/mo; Claude Code included with Pro and Max | $20 / $100 / $200 | ✓ verified | Plans & pricing Use Claude Code with your Pro or Max plan 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: “Claude Cowork (Jan–July 2026)” Launch Jan 2026 confirmed; GA was April. No July milestone found. | Jan–Jul | ◐ partly verified | Anthropic’s new Cowork tool offers Claude Code without the code Making Claude Cowork ready for enterprise 20 Oct 2026 |
Microsoft Autopilot
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Autopilot (previously Scout) announced 25 Sep 2026; private preview from end of September | 2026-09-25 | ✓ verified | Introducing the new Copilot with Home, Code and Autopilot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Scout was introduced 2 Jun 2026 as an always-on personal agent | 2026-06-02 | ✓ verified | Introducing Microsoft Scout: Your always-on personal agent 20 Oct 2026 |
| Lives in your tenant with its own identity, memory, computer and workspace; permissions, audit and governance Search summaries describe it as a Microsoft Entra identity; Microsoft’s post says “its own identity”. | tenant identity | ✓ verified | Introducing the new Copilot with Home, Code and Autopilot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Works in Teams, Outlook, chats, channels and documents | Teams, Outlook | ✓ verified | Introducing the new Copilot with Home, Code and Autopilot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Runs on usage-based billing (Copilot Credits), not the per-user licence | usage-based | ✓ verified | Introducing the new Copilot with Home, Code and Autopilot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Cowork, Code and Autopilot run on usage-based billing with frontier models such as “Astra and Fable” | multi-model | ✓ verified | Introducing the new Copilot with Home, Code and Autopilot 20 Oct 2026 |
| Copilot Credits list at $0.01 each (pay-as-you-go) From Microsoft licensing guide via search; credits per Autopilot task not published. | $0.01 / credit | ◐ partly verified | Copilot Credits licensing guidance 20 Oct 2026 |
Siri AI
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Siri AI released in beta (English) 14 Sep 2026 with iOS 27 / macOS 27 | 2026-09-14 | ✓ verified | Siri AI, a profoundly more capable and personal assistant, is here 20 Oct 2026 |
| Not initially available in the EU on iOS, iPadOS and watchOS; not in China | excl. EU (iOS), China | ✓ verified | Siri AI, a profoundly more capable and personal assistant, is here 20 Oct 2026 |
| Server-side features have daily usage limits; “expanded access … for a fee in the future” | daily limits | ✓ verified | Siri AI, a profoundly more capable and personal assistant, is here 20 Oct 2026 |
| Next-gen Apple Foundation Models built in collaboration with Google and its Gemini models; on-device + Private Cloud Compute | Apple FM + Gemini | ✓ verified | Siri AI, a profoundly more capable and personal assistant, is here 20 Oct 2026 |
| Requires an Apple Intelligence device (iPhone 15 Pro, iPhone 16 or later, M1+ Mac/iPad) | device-gated | ✓ verified | Siri AI, a profoundly more capable and personal assistant, is here 20 Oct 2026 |
Perplexity Computer
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perplexity Computer launched 25 Feb 2026 for Max ($200/mo), orchestrating 19 models | 2026-02-25 | ✓ verified | Introducing Perplexity Computer Perplexity launches “Computer” AI agent that coordinates 19 models, priced at $200 a month 20 Oct 2026 |
| Opened to Pro subscribers 13 Mar 2026 (weekly Computer usage; Max gets 10,000 credits/month) Changelog page timed out on re-check; details from search summary of Perplexity pages. | Pro + Max | ◐ partly verified | What we shipped — March 13, 2026 (Computer for Pro subscribers) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: Perplexity/Microsoft hybrid routing, Oct 2026 (“Windows for hybrid intelligence”) No source found. | reported | ⚑ reported | Personal Agents After the Compute Map (research brief, 20 Oct 2026) 20 Oct 2026 |
Instinct
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invite-only launch in August 2026, text-message interface (iMessage, WhatsApp, email) | 2026-08 | ✓ verified | Instinct was the buzziest AI agent around — can it survive Muse? 20 Oct 2026 |
| Free for invite-only users; no app, no subscription (for now) | free (invite) | ✓ verified | Instinct was the buzziest AI agent around — can it survive Muse? 20 Oct 2026 |
| Logins entered via a “secure vault” link; connects Google Workspace, Slack, Notion | secure vault | ✓ verified | Instinct was the buzziest AI agent around — can it survive Muse? 20 Oct 2026 |
| Instinct Concierge (16 Sep 2026) makes phone calls to businesses | phone calls | ✓ verified | Rival AI agents, Instinct and Meta’s Muse, both add the ability to make calls 20 Oct 2026 |
| Raised $1B Series C at a $10B valuation (28 Sep 2026) | $1B @ $10B | ✓ verified | Viral AI agent Instinct raises $1B Series C at a $10B valuation 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: Instinct-class startups experiment with agent-to-agent UX No specific agent-to-agent feature confirmed for Instinct. | reported | ⚑ reported | Personal Agents After the Compute Map (research brief, 20 Oct 2026) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Has pushed “recommended products” to users | reported | ✓ verified | Instinct was the buzziest AI agent around — can it survive Muse? 20 Oct 2026 |
Cue (Manus)
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cue launched 28 Sep 2026 with Manus 2.0: agents with their own email, phone number, wallet and computer From search summaries of Manus’s post and press; not re-read in full. | 2026-09-28 | ◐ partly verified | Introducing Manus 2.0 20 Oct 2026 |
| Free during invite-only early access; phone number is a separate paid add-on Add-on price varies by listing ($0.99–$9.99 reported). | free (invite) | ◐ partly verified | Cue by Manus (App Store listing) 20 Oct 2026 |
Dot (New Computer)
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dot (New Computer) shut down; app available until 5 Oct 2025 | 2025-10-05 | ✓ verified | Personalized AI companion app Dot is shutting down 20 Oct 2026 |
Thesis & economics
| Claim | Value | Status | Source (checked) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Agentic models need 5–30× more tokens per task than a standard chatbot (Gartner) Gartner, March 2026. | 5–30× | ✓ verified | Gartner Predicts That by 2030, Performing Inference on an LLM With 1 Trillion Parameters Will Cost GenAI Providers Over 90% Less Than in 2025 20 Oct 2026 |
| Gartner: inference cost per agentic workflow will rise more than fivefold through 2028 | >5× | ✓ verified | Gartner Predicts AI Inference Costs Per Agentic Workflow Will Increase More Than Fivefold Through 2028 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: “Chat was 1 inference call. An agent is 10–20+ calls” Illustrative; no source for the specific count. | 10–20+ calls | ⚑ reported | Personal Agents After the Compute Map (research brief, 20 Oct 2026) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Inference ≈ two-thirds of all AI compute in 2026, up from one-third in 2023 (~half in 2025) Deloitte prediction, not a measurement. | ⅓ → ½ → ⅔ | ✓ verified | More compute for AI, not less (TMT Predictions 2026) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: pre-training at single-digit share; post-training/RL ~42–55% of frontier lab compute Found ExoBrain chart: RL 53%, pre-training 10% (not single-digit), inference ~⅓. Brief attributes to Epoch/SemiAnalysis; that attribution not confirmed. | RL 53%, pre-training 10% (Q3 2026) | ◐ partly verified | The rise of post-training 20 Oct 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs: agentic AI raises global token consumption ~24× by 2030 From Goldman Insights via search summaries. | 24× | ◐ partly verified | AI Agents Forecast to Boost Tech Cash Flow as Usage Soars 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: “In eight weeks every major lab shipped the same architecture” Grok Bot → Muse → Dots took 7 weeks. Spark and Cowork came months earlier; Siri AI is not a cloud-computer agent. | Aug 11 → Sep 29 | ◐ partly verified | Introducing Grok Bot Introducing dots How We Built Safety Into Muse 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: “Every major agent excluded Europe at launch” True for Muse (US-only), Spark, Siri AI (iOS) and Dots for Pro users. Dots Business Premium launched in all supported regions; no EU exclusion found for Grok Bot. | mostly | ◐ partly verified | Meta launches personal AI agent, Muse Getting started with your dot Create and manage schedules for tasks in Gemini Siri AI, a profoundly more capable and personal assistant, is here 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: premium tiers converge on $20 / $100 / $200 Claude and Google match; Muse $20/$100; X $30/$100/$200; ChatGPT Pro $100/$200/$500. | mostly | ◐ partly verified | About Muse subscriptions Plans & pricing Google AI subscription updates from Google I/O 2026 The X Subscription — Pricing About ChatGPT Pro tiers 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: OpenAI and Anthropic both forecast 5–6 GW by end-2026 Not in the companion site’s verified data; not confirmed. | reported | ⚑ reported | Personal Agents After the Compute Map (research brief, 20 Oct 2026) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: NVIDIA “RTX Spark 120B” local-model claims No source found. | reported | ⚑ reported | Personal Agents After the Compute Map (research brief, 20 Oct 2026) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Brief: “pricing is rationing, not marketing” Author’s interpretation. | thesis | ◇ forecast | Personal Agents After the Compute Map (research brief, 20 Oct 2026) 20 Oct 2026 |
| Segment verdicts (Muse wins people, Dots wins work breadth, …) Author’s judgement, Oct 2026. | forecast | ◇ forecast | Personal Agents After the Compute Map (research brief, 20 Oct 2026) 20 Oct 2026 |
| 2028–30 scenarios: abundance ~40%, scarcity ~40%, trust collapse ~20% The brief itself says the percentages are author judgement, not sourced forecasts. | 40/40/20 | ◇ forecast | Personal Agents After the Compute Map (research brief, 20 Oct 2026) 20 Oct 2026 |
Discrepancy log (brief vs sources)
| # | Brief says | We found | On the site |
|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | Brief says Spark fell from $250 to $20 in two months. | Spark’s entry price was $100 (Ultra 5×) at launch. The $250 Ultra price was cut to $200 the same day. Entry fell $100 → $19.99 in ~10 weeks. | Site shows “$100 → $20 in ~10 weeks”. |
| D2 | Brief says Dots is “Pro-only”. | Dots is in ChatGPT Pro and Business Premium, with an Enterprise/Edu/Healthcare beta. | Site lists all three. |
| D3 | Brief: pre-training “single-digit share”; RL ~42–55%; source “Epoch/SemiAnalysis”. | Closest source found (ExoBrain, 9 Oct 2026): pre-training 10%, RL 53%, inference ~⅓ (Q3 2026). Original Epoch/SemiAnalysis source not found. | Shown as partially verified with ExoBrain figures. |
| D4 | Brief: “In eight weeks every major lab shipped the same architecture.” | Grok Bot (11 Aug) → Muse (8 Sep) → Dots (29 Sep) = 7 weeks. Spark (May) and Cowork (Jan) were earlier; Siri AI is not a cloud-computer agent. | Reworded as “seven weeks, three launches”. |
| D5 | Brief: every major agent excluded Europe at launch. | Mostly true, but Dots Business Premium launched in all supported regions, and no EU exclusion was found for Grok Bot or Claude. | Picker uses per-agent regions. |
| D6 | Grok Bot launch plans differ between sources. | Cursor forum/VentureBeat: Heavy/Ultra/Teams Premium at launch; xAI post now lists wider plans. | Site shows current plans (as of 20 Oct). |
| D7 | Brief: “Claude Cowork (Jan–July 2026)”. | Launch 12 Jan, GA 9 Apr; merged into one Claude 16 Sep. No July milestone found. | Timeline uses sourced dates. |
| D8 | Brief links the Australia incident to the agent wave. | The incident (June 2026) involved OpenAI agents before Dots launched. | Shown as vendor context, not a Dots incident. |
| D9 | Brief: tiers converge on $20/$100/$200. | Partly: X uses $30/$100/$200; ChatGPT Pro is $100/$200/$500. | Shown as “mostly”. |
| D10 | The relayed brief was missing ~28.6K characters (section 1 end → section 5 start). | Claims from that section were not used unless found independently. | Iggy should paste the full brief. |
Compute data
Compute figures are reused unchanged from Where Is The Compute (data/compute.snapshot.json), with the same caveats. See Where Is The Compute sources.
All sources
- How We Built Safety Into Muse, Meta AI Research, 2026-09-08. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Introducing Muse: The World’s First Personal AI Agent Built for Everyone (Meta release, via Public), Meta, 2026-09-08. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- About Muse subscriptions, Meta Help Center, 2026-09. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Muse, Meta’s New Personal AI Agent, Needs You to Trust It, WIRED, 2026-09-08. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Meta launches AI agent that can access other apps to send emails, make payments, Reuters, 2026-09-08. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Meta launches personal AI agent, Muse, AP News, 2026-09-08. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Muse is free for up to 100M tokens per week (Bloomberg, via Techmeme), Techmeme / Bloomberg, 2026-09-08. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Muse payout guidelines, Meta Bug Bounty, 2026-09. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Stripe helps Muse, Meta’s new personal AI agent, shop across the internet with Link, Stripe, 2026-09. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Meta’s Muse AI agent hits 10.9 million downloads as ChatGPT slides 25%, Yahoo Finance, 2026-10. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Rival AI agents, Instinct and Meta’s Muse, both add the ability to make calls, TechCrunch, 2026-09-17. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Introducing dots, OpenAI, 2026-09-29. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Getting started with your dot, OpenAI Help Center, 2026-10-19. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- About ChatGPT Pro tiers, OpenAI Help Center, 2026-10-20. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- ChatGPT Business – Overview, OpenAI Help Center, 2026-10. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- OpenAI launches dots, always-on AI agents with their own cloud computers, The Next Web, 2026-09-29. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- OpenAI CEO Sam Altman announces agent Dots, GPT-6.1 Sol and other updates, AP News, 2026-09-29. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- OpenAI executive Jason Kwon to face grilling at parliament about AI hacking Australians’ private data, The Guardian, 2026-10-05. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- AI inquiry urges independent safety checks, security access and copyright review, ABC News (Australia), 2026-10-13. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Introducing Grok Bot, SpaceXAI, 2026-08-11. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Introducing Grok Bot (announcement), Cursor Forum, 2026-08-11. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Grok Bot is now included with more plans, SpaceXAI, 2026. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- AI teammates that finish the work | Grok Bot, SpaceXAI, 2026-10-20. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- The X Subscription — Pricing, SpaceXAI Docs, 2026-10. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Grok Bot — Plans and billing, Cursor Help, 2026-10. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- SpaceXAI’s Grok Bot turns agents into persistent digital coworkers, VentureBeat, 2026-08-11. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Google AI subscription updates from Google I/O 2026, Google, 2026-05-19. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Google introduces Gemini Spark, a 24/7 agentic assistant, TechCrunch, 2026-05-19. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Gemini Spark – Your 24/7 personal AI agent, Google, 2026-10. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Create and manage schedules for tasks in Gemini, Gemini Apps Help, 2026-10. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Google AI plans, Google One, 2026-10. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Gemini Spark Expands to All Google AI Pro Subscribers in the US, TechMyMoney, 2026-07-25. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Claude Cowork and chat are now one Claude, Anthropic, 2026-09-16. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Claude Cowork and chat are one Claude, Claude Help Center, 2026-09-16. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Anthropic merges its Claude chat and agentic Cowork products into a single AI assistant, Fortune, 2026-09-16. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Anthropic’s new Cowork tool offers Claude Code without the code, TechCrunch, 2026-01-12. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Making Claude Cowork ready for enterprise, Anthropic, 2026-04. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Plans & pricing, Anthropic, 2026-10. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Use Claude Code with your Pro or Max plan, Claude Help Center, 2026-10. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Introducing the new Copilot with Home, Code and Autopilot, Microsoft, 2026-09-25. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Introducing Microsoft Scout: Your always-on personal agent, Microsoft, 2026-06-02. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Copilot Credits licensing guidance, Microsoft, 2026-09. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Siri AI, a profoundly more capable and personal assistant, is here, Apple Newsroom, 2026-09-14. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Introducing Perplexity Computer, Perplexity, 2026-02-25. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Perplexity launches “Computer” AI agent that coordinates 19 models, priced at $200 a month, VentureBeat, 2026-02-25. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- What we shipped — March 13, 2026 (Computer for Pro subscribers), Perplexity Changelog, 2026-03-13. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Instinct was the buzziest AI agent around — can it survive Muse?, The Verge, 2026-10-09. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Viral AI agent Instinct raises $1B Series C at a $10B valuation, TechCrunch, 2026-09-28. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Introducing Manus 2.0, Manus, 2026-09-28. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Cue by Manus (App Store listing), Apple App Store, 2026-10. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Personalized AI companion app Dot is shutting down, TechCrunch, 2025-09-05. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Gartner Predicts That by 2030, Performing Inference on an LLM With 1 Trillion Parameters Will Cost GenAI Providers Over 90% Less Than in 2025, Gartner, 2026-03-25. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Gartner Predicts AI Inference Costs Per Agentic Workflow Will Increase More Than Fivefold Through 2028, Gartner, 2026-08-17. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- More compute for AI, not less (TMT Predictions 2026), Deloitte Insights, 2026. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- The rise of post-training, ExoBrain, 2026-10-09. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- AI Agents Forecast to Boost Tech Cash Flow as Usage Soars, Goldman Sachs, 2026. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Where Is The Compute (companion site; Epoch AI-based figures), Where Is The Compute, 2026-10-20. Checked 20 Oct 2026.
- Personal Agents After the Compute Map (research brief, 20 Oct 2026), by the site’s author. Claims cited only to the brief are marked “reported” or “forecast”.